Update 16th December –
As predicted below, CIC has released 49th draw today with 497 CRS Cut-off inviting 1936 candidate from the pool.
Update – Looks like CIC has planned to surprise us on each draw in the days left over in year 2016. There was no draw declaration on 14th December 2016 but there is an update on family unification planning, which we will talk about in other posts. However, CIC can take us by surprise by holding a draw on this Friday the 16th December 2016. Whether it happens or not, it still remains to be seen. We will update this article with the latest.
The day is almost here when CIC is going to release first draw after the new point rule policy changes were implemented on 19th November 2016. The draw was expected on 7th December, but with an email from CIC Canada, which stated that all candidates need to commit the necessary changes by 12th December and all points will be updated by this date, it was almost certain that CIC is going to skip this date and the next 49th Draw will be held next week.
Thousands of candidates across the world are waiting for the new scores to be declared anticipating that the scores will go below 500 cut-off and possibly this may be a mega draw with over 2500 Invitations. Although, our expectations are on the same lines, CIC has shown moves which were beyond anyone’s expectations. Declaring a PNP specific 48th draw on 30th November, CIC showed that they clearly meant business. With this draw, they tried to clear a lot of backlog for PNP applicants and since not many provinces are issuing nominations at present, it is expected that the number of PNP holders in pool currently are less than 200-300 candidates.
In the meantime, there were positive announcements regarding family unification timelines in Canadian Immigration. During an announcement in Brampton Ontario, home of many immigrants.
Minister John Mc.Callum announced –
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Minister John McCallum announced today in Brampton, Ont., that the current average two-year processing period will be reduced to 12 months. The new one-year guarantee will apply to applications already in the queue and new applicants.
“This will be of direct benefit to the 64,000 spouses we will admit to Canada in the coming year,” he said.
He also confirmed that with family around, productivity of citizens will go up which is beneficial for Canadian Labor Market.
On the other hand the Provincial Nomination program in Manitoba have applied a new PNP fee of $500 CAD, which is applicable to all applicants who are being accepted in the system from now. In an announcement made by Manitoba Premier Brian Pallister, he said that he plans to have a backlog of provincial nominee program applications cleared by April 2017. According to an estimate, over 4000 candidates are still in backlog of receiving nominations and the province wants to use the additional income on language training and providing resources to immigrants helping them in their career and other settlement areas.
He said improving the program will help fill the estimated 200,000 jobs that will need to be filled in the province during the next five years. At least 25 per cent will be filled be immigrants, according to Pallister.
British Columbia on the other hand has issued 500 Provincial Nominations Invitations spread across various categories –
Qualified Skilled Worker – Invitations -135 , Score -90
Skilled Workers with post study/preparing and with experience in an ability occupation – work offer is required for this Criteria.
- Skilled Immigration – Entry Level Worker – Invitations – 46 , Score – 60
- Skilled Immigration – Foreign Graduate – Invitations – 135 , Score – 80
- British Columbia Express Entry – Foreign Graduate – Invitations – 101 , Scores – 90
- Express Entry BC – Qualified Skilled Worker – Invitations – 109 , Score – 90
The best part, 29 of our OOPNP Consultant candidates received their British Columbia Invitations spread across various streams.
49th Draw Prediction –
We have a lot of discussion regarding this and our panel believes that 49th draw CRS cut-off will mostly remain above 500. There are couple of reasons for this since the new BC PNP invitations added 500 candidates to the pool plus thousands of candidates have received new increased scores, which essentially means that to clear this backlog CIC will need to issue next 3-5 draws with over 2200 ITA’s with first couple of draws staying above 500 score. The scores are expected to come down to 470 levels once we have cleared the new backlog of candidates between 470-500 CRS Bracket.
Is your CRS below 400-
We receive at least 10 emails where candidates come to us with scores below 400 expecting ITA’s in 2017. As far as we can judge the pool currently, CRS score below 400 may not get ITA anytime in the year 2017, since the pool is growing everyday with Candidates having higher scores with Canadian Education and Provincial Nominations. The only way to get ITA below scores of 400 is to go for Arranged Employment, LMIA roles or Provincial Nominations.
Reach us at – email@example.com if you are looking to get ITA in 2017 and landing in Canada with a permanent job.
We will keep you posted on the CIC 49th Draw scores as it is declared around 12 UTC time tomorrow.