After dropping 3 points and inviting 2,000+ applicants in 46th draw held on 2nd November 2016, CIC is all set to announce 47th Draw which is expected to be announced on 9th November 2016 or if they decide to keep the past trend, the draw may come on 16th November 2016.
CIC has announced it’s Immigration targets for the year 2017 in a notice published here –
Quick Facts –
|Economic||Federal Economic Includes Federal Skilled Worker Program, Federal Skilled Trades Program, Canadian Experience Class and Atlantic Immigration Pilot Program||69,600||77,300||73,700|
|Provincial Nominee Program||49,000||54,000||51,000|
|Quebec Skilled Workers and Business||28,000||31,200||29,300|
|Family||Spouses, Partners and Children||62,000||66,000||64,000|
|Parents and Grandparents||18,000||20,000||20,000|
|Refugees and Protected Persons||Protected Persons in Canada and Dependants Abroad||13,000||16,000||15,000|
|Blended Visa Office-Referred||1,000||3,000||1,500|
|Protected Persons and Refugees Total||33,000||46,000||40,000|
|Humanitarian and Other||Humanitarian and Other||2,900||4,500||3,500|
If we run these numbers, we calculate that CIC needs to invite an approximately 4,000+ applications every month at least if this allocated quota is to be filled up. Unless CIC decided to provide some more points to the International Graduates or family policy changes, we expect each draw moving further to clear at least 2000-2500 candidates which will pull CRS score down to an approximate bracket of 450-455 like past year.
Keeping in mind that the month of December has 4 weeks, there is a possibility that CIC may announce 3 draws this month each on 9th November, 16th November and 30th November and after this a draw on 14th and 28th of December. All draws are likely to have at least 2,000 invitations if CIC has to meet it’s target.
Since the time of announcement of immigration targets for next year, Canadian Govt. has taken a lot of flak for reducing the intake of refugees, increasing the number of immigrants without taking care of jobs and basic facilities. On the other hand, some immigration lawyers and consultants on our team indicated the number of 300,000 is low and should have been increased to at least 425,000 every year for at least next 5 years if Canada has to retain the labour market potential and create jobs.
Canada has introduced Business and Entrepreneur Visas but the quota is yet to be fully allocated and it’s effects on Canadian Economy still remains to be seen. Our experts also predict that Ontario PNP may announce it’s 2017 quota allocation in November and start accepting applications from the month of January 2017, while there is a possibility that SINP will accept at least 1000 more applicants in 2016 and will open intakes twice before moving to next year.
Our Prediction for CIC 47th draw is a CRS Score of 465-470 with an approximate 2200-2600 Invitations. We expect CRS score to go lower than 470 or may be 465 this time and invitations to increase as we move towards the end of year 2016. People with scores above 460 definitely have a good chance in November ,unless CIC draws prove that 4000+ people are sitting in bracket of 470-475 CRS Scores, which will push 460 CRS bracket to somewhere around February 2017.
On a lighter note, the USA presidential elections will decide the number of Americans applying for Canadian Residency if Trump takes over the as the next Potus.
Whatever happens in the elections and next draw is going to be quite interesting as it will pave way for trends in future draws and expectations of candidates. We will keep you posted as time moves on.