Update – As expected in this post before, CIC posted 44th draw with 484 CRS score and 1,518 invite on October 12th 2016, which is 100% inline with our prediction for this draw. Hope these scores go down soon for our aspirants.
It’s 5th October 2016, going by the trends in the past CIC is expected to release its 44th draw today. Candidates are anxiously waiting for the draw information update which is usually announced at 12:00 UTC.
Number of factors have played in today’s draw like BC PNP has released 600+ ITA’s recently which will add points to the candidate profiles leading to ITA’s. On the other hand OINP although lagging deliberately in issuing nominations has issued almost 150+ nominations in past couple of weeks. All these candidates will be added to the pool of qualifying candidates of the next draw. In the 43rd draw, 1288 candidates with a score of 483 and above were invited. Keeping in mind that almost 750 candidates have been issued PNP during these 2 weeks we expect either scores to go higher and stay around 490 or CIC may increase the number of invitations upto around 1,500 which will lead to drop in scores needed for ITA.
Our prediction for this 44th CIC draw is a score of 478-487 with ITA’s staying in the bracket of 1100-1500. CIC is trying to clear it’s huge backlog but we believe it’s still not enough right now. It will take at least 3 more draws before we see scores moving down to the range of 465.
We received a lot of enquiries where we saw people who filled up for OINP applications last year are still waiting for nominations. Some of them are still awaiting AOR. This confirms that OINP processing time has increased drastically. It may be due to number of factors like CIC instructions or huge backlog but this has definitely affected a lot of candidates. Our source has confirmed that OINP is working at 40% of their usual speed and awaiting instructions from CIC. Once the new immigration policy changes are announced and implemented, we expect some movement in the applications.
The Immigration policy change announcement is currently overdue and we do not expect it to come anytime in October. It’s expected that the mid year report which is also overdue will be announced this month, while the changes in the policy are expected to be announced in November 2016.
A lot of expectations are mounting on CIC with aspirants worried about scores to drop and the invitations to rise, since the pool is building up with a huge backlog of candidates in the score range of 400-450. People who were expected to be treated fairly in this system ex. International Graduates are the worst sufferers with their work permits expiring despite having considerably higher scores.
We expect CIC to announce and implement these changes soon, however a lot depends on how the 44th draw performs on 5th October 2016.