This post contains facts discussed with a colleague from Brampton, Ontario who has good relations with decision makers from CIC. Although, the facts may not prove to be entirely true, we are disclosing what we have discussed so far.
CIC declared it’s 41st draw on 24th August 2016 with 750 invitations with a CRS cut-off score of 538. Considering the odd ball score of 538, aspirants have a good judgement that without very specific qualifications, it’s quite hard
to get CRS Score of 538. Candidates who are Phd’s or french speaking professionals or CEC qualified candidates may receive these scores but other than that, it’s quite hard to collect these points.
During our discussion with our colleague, we were informed that a CEC specific draw was long due and with this 41st draw, CIC has tried to invite 90% candidates who either had CEC qualification or had received approved LMIA or may be had Phd degrees giving them higher scores compared to other candidates in the pool.
CIC is expecting very specific policy changes in September 2016 for international students, points for family or siblings or changes in policies for Provincial nominations. And since these changes will be implemented effective immediately, it’s expected that the scores of FSW candidates in the pool will rise and the next draws to come in September, October and November will try to cover FSW specific candidates. Although, the number of invites are not expected to cross 1000 each draw, CIC is trying to clear the candidates in the pool as well as clearing the backlog which is growing higher with each passing day.
It’s also evident that CIC office has implemented some automated application process recently and decided to cut down on its staff just to reduce some fat and function effectively.
According to our resource, the CRS scores are not expected to go below 475 in year 2016. The draws can even go to 800+ scores once the PNP nominated candidates start coming in the pool. OINP has been relatively quite busy issuing AOR at a relatively slow pace, but trying to convert most of them to nominations unless the application lacks clarity.
The next draws 42nd to 48th draws are expected to remain in the score range of 475-540 and both FSW and CEC candidates are expected to be cleared with each draw inviting close to 1000 candidates.
Of course, these numbers may change depending upon the policy changes implemented.
We also discussed some important facts and changes about the OINP office which will be posted soon on our website. Stay tuned if you are an OINP candidate, it’s surely going through an interesting phase.